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Subjecting the Principle of Technical Analysis into theoretical diagnosis of Efficient Market Hypothesis and Socionomics

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International Federation of Technical Analysts defined Technical Analysis as the systematic method of analysing financial instruments, including securities, futures and interest rate products with only market delivered information such as price, volume, volatility and open interest.

When the above stated principles that guide technicians were subjected to the scientific analytics of neoclassical economists, in the theory of efficient market hypothesis, it debunk the theoretical application on the sole grounds that, economics and financial causality are fundamentally the same, therefore judge the technicians to be delusional. The prima facie of this theory continues to stand as an uphold theory in main stream economics and behavioural finance studies in the face of alternative evidence submitted to correct such error in modern theory.

Socionomic as a modern theory strives to delineate finance and economics dichotomy, which distinguishes between the field of microeconomics where the law of supply and demand applies with a paradigm of rationality in utility maximization and external causality but in the field of finance it proposes the law of patterned herding within a paradigm of pre-rational herding and internal causality.

It observed that, the neoclassical economic theory seems to be efficient, when economic analysis in display has finance as a subject of variable in the context of the holistic analysis but suffer a default under a complete financial market analysis.

As a result, the following contrast below is established under the Socionomic and the neoclassical theoretical perspective towards the financial markets behaviour for evaluations and decisions:

  1. Socionomics theory argue that the financial market is subjective, unconscious, pre-rational impulses to herd is what determines the financial value, while the Neoclassical theory submits that, the financial market is objective, conscious, rational in decisions to maximize utility, is the cause that determines financial value.
  2. Socionomic theory state that, financial markets are dynamic and do not revert to anything, while the Neoclassical theory suggests, the financial markets tend towards stability(equilibrium) and revert to mean value
  3. Socionomics alludes to investors in financial markets typically using information to rationalize mood-induced imperatives while the neoclassical theorists are of the view that investors in financial markets typically use information to reason
  4. Socionomics state that investors’ decisions are fraught with ignorance and uncertainty while the neoclassical concludes that investors’ decisions are based on knowledge and certainty
  5. Socionomic theorists believes, endogenous social processes determine most investment decisions while the neoclassical theorists believe exogenous variables determine most investment decisions.
  6. Socionomic theory argues that financial prices are derived from herding activity and trends in social mood, while the neoclassic theory submits that price is derive from individual decisions about value.
  7. Socionomic theory state that, financial prices adhere to the organizing principle at the aggregate level while the neoclassic theory argues that financial market changes are essentially random.
  8. Socionomic theorists argue that, financial prices are probabilistically predictable, so is the character of news, while the Neoclassic theorists submit that, in the financial markets prices are unpredictable, as well as the character of the news.
  9. Socionomics alludes to changing values of financial instruments presage changes in associated events while the Neoclassic believes changing events presage changes in the values of associated financial instruments.

This paper therefore concludes that, the Socionomic theorists believe socionomic principles govern the financial markets, while the Neoclassical theorists argue that, economic principles govern the financial markets.

Appreciating the theoretical arguments of both fashion, and understanding how the financial markets pragmatically obey the Elliot wave theory, then it  will be logical to submit that socioeconomic theory seems to hold answers to the deep unanswered questions in the financial markets beyond the theoretical foundation of neoclassical, and call for a special attention to [socionomic] as a theory for further examination and evaluation towards the financial markets in response to trend analysis and price movement of instruments by market triggers or catalysts.

Reference

  1. ifta.org
  2. Robert R. Prechter (1999) robetprechter.com
  3. socionomics.net

————————————————————————————————————–

Emmanuel Tweneboah Senzu (Ph.D.), Professor of Frederic Bastiat Institute, Cape Coast Technical University Ghana. [email protected]

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    ปีมีทีมงานมากยิ่งกว่า 200 คนที่พร้อมเปิดให้บริการผู้เล่นตลอด
    24 ชม. หรือนักพนันเกิดข้อสงสัย ต้องการขอคำแนะนำเกี่ยวกับ เว็บเดิมพันSLOT ONLINE ของพวกเรา ก็สามารถทักหาทีมงานเราได้ตลอดเวลา สล็อตพีจี เว็บใหม่ คือ ค่ายสล็ออตที่เล่นง่ายที่สุด โบนัสแตกบ่อย แตกบ่อยที่สุด พวกเรามีเกมให้นักเดิมพันเล่นกันไม่อั้นเกม PG
    SLOT เว็บหลัก ที่เราได้รวบรวมมากกว่า
    500 เกม ที่มีโบนัสแตกหนัก แจ็คพอตแตกหลายครั้งทุกๆท่านสามารถเล่นเกม เกมสล็อตออนไลน์ได้อย่างเพลิดเพลิน มาพร้อมเปิดบริการดีๆมากมายไม่ว่าจะเป็น สล็อต pg เว็บใหม่ ฟรีเครดิต ที่ผู้เล่นทุกๆคนสามารถเล่นเกมสล็อตฟรีได้ทุกเกมของเราซึ่งทุกๆท่าน บริการ SLOT DEMOได้ง่ายๆ pg slot แตกหนัก มีรูปแบบ เกมที่เข้าใจง่าย เล่นง่ายไม่ซับซ้อน มาด้วยกราฟฟิกที่สวยงามสมจริง เสียงที่คมชัด เอฟเฟคเสียงที่น่าตื่นตาตื่นใจ มาพร้อมระบบและเปิดให้บริการดีๆต่างๆหลายอย่างเพราะบริการจากผู้สร้างโดยตรงจากต่างประเทศ SLOT PG เว็บหลัก
    มีใบรับรอง พร้อมกับสิทธิประโยชน์หลากหลายได้แก่ โปรโมชั่นต่างที่
    เราได้เตรียมมาให้ทุกๆคน เพียงแค่ทุกๆท่าน สมัครสมาชิก slot เว็บตรง กับ เราเท่านั้นสมัครเพียงไม่กี่ขั้นตอนทุกๆคนก็จะได้
    โปรโมชั่นหลาย กับทาง สล็อต PG เว็บใหญ่ ค่ายเกมที่ให้ ค่ายเกมสล็อต ค่ายเกมสล็อตออนไลน์
    ที่ให้หลายกว่า ค่ายเกมสล็อต อื่นๆกันเลย สล็อตเว็บตรงไม่ผ่านเอเย่นต์ ไม่มีขั้นต่ำ ของพวกเราเปิดบริการแล้วผ่าน
    ระบบและบริการฝากถอนอัตโนมัติฝากถอน ไม่มีขั้นต่ำ
    เพื่ออำนวยความสะดวกนักเสี่ยงดวงให้หลากหลายที่สุด พร้อมระบบและบริการต่างๆต่างหลาย เช่น
    ฝากเงินไม่มีขั้นต่ำ ถอนเงินไม่มีขั้นต่ำ
    หรือ ฝากถอน ไม่มีขั้นต่ำ 1
    บาทก็สามารถเล่น , ถอนเงินไม่มีขั้นต่ำ ฝากเงินไม่มีขั้นต่ำ ภายใน 10 วินาที ,
    ไม่จำกัดจำนวนครั้งในการฝากถอน บริการฝากถอน
    อัตโนมัติไม่มีขั้นต่ำในการฝากถอนนักเดิมพันที่เข้ามาเป็นสมาชิกของเรา ถึงทุนน้อยก็สามารถร่วมสนุกสนานกับ้ราได้ เบท 1บาทก็สามารถเล่น สล็อตเว็บตรงไม่ผ่านเอเย่นต์ ไม่มีขั้นต่ำ
    ได้ทุกเกมเพื่อให้ทุกท่านที่มีทุนน้อยได้สนุกกับ สล็อตพีจี แตกง่าย
    ค่ายเกมสล็อตออนไลน์ เกมที่ให้ ค่ายสล็อต ต่างๆที่พวกเราได้รวบรวมมาให้ทุกท่านกันเลย ยังไม่หมดเท่านั้น พีจีสล็อต แตกง่าย ที่พวกเรารวมรวมมาไม่เพียงแต่ ค่ายสล็อตออนไลน์ SLOT PG เว็บใหญ่
    เท่านั้นยังมี สล็อต
    pg เว็บตรง , slot xo แตกหนัก , ทางเข้าเล่น joker123 ,
    SLOT SUPER เว็บใหม่ , ambbet เว็บใหญ่ , pragmatic
    slot แตกบ่อย แล้วก็ค่ายสล็อตออนไลน์อื่นๆอีกหลายค่ายเกมสล็อต ที่จะทำให้ทุกๆคนสามารถเล่น แตกหนัก , xo สล็อต
    เว็บตรงได้ไม่เบื่ออีกต่อไปเล่นได้ไม่อั้นเพิ่มความสนุกถึงขั้นสุด PGSLOT138

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